Mason McTavish vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 49.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 51.0%
Defensive zone
McTavish 55.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 55.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
McTavish
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McTavish
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
49.2% (1,266)
+1.9%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
54.9% (193)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
49.1% (55)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
McTavish shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
McTavish
MacKinnon
Home
52.3% (461)
50.9% (740)
Away
49.2% (500)
49.0% (774)
By Period
McTavish
MacKinnon
P1
51.5%
50.9%
P2
54.0%
51.8%
P3
47.1%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |