Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.0% vs Paul 53.3% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
McTavish 59.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 65.4%
Neutral zone
McTavish 61.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
McTavish
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (616)
53.2% (327)
-5.6%
Power Play
57.8% (102)
61.4% (57)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (32)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
McTavish shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
McTavish
Paul
Home
52.2% (389)
54.6% (183)
Away
45.1% (335)
53.6% (233)
By Period
McTavish
Paul
P1
50.0%
56.3%
P2
47.9%
54.8%
P3
49.0%
52.4%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.5%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%