Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Cates 45.8% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 88.1%
Defensive zone
McTavish 66.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 84.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
McTavish
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
2
(13 meetings)
11
2
McTavish
Cates
Last 10: McTavish 9-1 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
5
2
McTavish
Cates
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
0
McTavish
Cates
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
0
McTavish
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
44.3% (271)
+7.0%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
77.8% (18)
-22.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
31.7% (41)
-3.1%
On power play, Cates has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McTavish shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
McTavish
Cates
Home
52.0% (454)
52.0% (148)
Away
51.4% (391)
38.5% (182)
By Period
McTavish
Cates
P1
51.3%
42.7%
P2
50.4%
42.9%
P3
53.3%
48.5%
Final 5 min
55.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |