Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McTavish wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Hintz 51.6% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 51.2%
Defensive zone
McTavish 69.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 65.3%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
McTavish
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McTavish
Hintz
Last 6: McTavish 2-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
McTavish
Hintz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
3
McTavish
Hintz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
52.6% (439)
-10.2%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
37.9% (29)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
63.6% (11)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McTavish shoots left. Hintz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
McTavish
Hintz
Home
41.9% (372)
53.5% (256)
Away
42.8% (353)
50.2% (223)
By Period
McTavish
Hintz
P1
47.2%
59.5%
P2
36.2%
49.2%
P3
43.6%
47.1%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
44.2%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |