Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Hintz 53.8% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 52.1%
Defensive zone
McTavish 57.6%
Neutral zone
McTavish 62.5%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
McTavish
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
McTavish
Hintz
Last 10: McTavish 6-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
3
McTavish
Hintz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
2
McTavish
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
4
3
McTavish
Hintz
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,788)
53.8% (3,722)
-5.6%
Power Play
52.6% (435)
55.4% (567)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
52.9% (221)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. McTavish is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,155).
McTavish shoots left. Hintz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
McTavish
Hintz
Home
49.8% (1,678)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
47.4% (1,580)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
McTavish
Hintz
P1
50.0%
55.5%
P2
47.8%
53.9%
P3
48.4%
52.7%
OT
43.5%
49.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 03:55 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |