Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Hintz 55.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 55.1%
Defensive zone
McTavish 60.2%
Neutral zone
McTavish 65.5%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
McTavish
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McTavish
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
McTavish
Hintz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
McTavish
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
56.3% (512)
-5.0%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
63.3% (30)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
45.8% (24)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McTavish shoots left. Hintz is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
McTavish
Hintz
Home
52.0% (454)
57.3% (262)
Away
51.4% (391)
55.3% (304)
By Period
McTavish
Hintz
P1
51.3%
54.8%
P2
50.4%
56.0%
P3
53.3%
57.5%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |