Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.0% vs Hintz 58.0% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 52.4%
Defensive zone
Hintz 55.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 50.4%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
McTavish
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McTavish
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
McTavish
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (616)
58.7% (530)
-11.1%
Power Play
57.8% (102)
59.4% (170)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
66.7% (27)
-33.4%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
McTavish shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
McTavish
Hintz
Home
52.2% (389)
60.2% (354)
Away
45.1% (335)
58.2% (373)
By Period
McTavish
Hintz
P1
50.0%
58.4%
P2
47.9%
59.8%
P3
49.0%
58.2%
OT
40.0%
81.8%
Final 5 min
45.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 03:55 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |