Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Lorentz 49.4% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
McTavish 50.5%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 50.8%
Neutral zone
McTavish 57.2%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
McTavish
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
48.9% (135)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
50.0% (4)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McTavish shoots left. Lorentz is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
McTavish
Lorentz
Home
52.0% (454)
50.7% (75)
Away
51.4% (391)
46.9% (64)
By Period
McTavish
Lorentz
P1
51.3%
60.0%
P2
50.4%
46.3%
P3
53.3%
44.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.9%