Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.0% vs Lorentz 50.0% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
McTavish 72.8%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 66.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 51.8%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
McTavish
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (616)
52.2% (67)
-4.6%
Power Play
57.8% (102)
50.0% (2)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
42.9% (21)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
McTavish shoots left. Lorentz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
McTavish
Lorentz
Home
52.2% (389)
55.4% (65)
Away
45.1% (335)
36.0% (25)
By Period
McTavish
Lorentz
P1
50.0%
59.3%
P2
47.9%
47.1%
P3
49.0%
44.8%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%