Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+14.3%)
Offensive zone
McTavish 54.8%
Defensive zone
McTavish 50.2%
Neutral zone
McTavish 56.3%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
McTavish
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
30.8% (26)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
57.1% (7)
-28.5%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
McTavish shoots left. Lorentz is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
McTavish
Lorentz
Home
52.3% (461)
35.0% (20)
Away
49.2% (500)
38.5% (13)
By Period
McTavish
Lorentz
P1
51.5%
38.5%
P2
54.0%
37.5%
P3
47.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%