Mason McTavish vs Steven Lorentz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.5%). Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Lorentz 48.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 53.5%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 59.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 52.8%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
McTavish
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McTavish
Lorentz
Last 6: McTavish 4-2 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
McTavish
Lorentz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Lorentz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
1
McTavish
Lorentz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,788)
48.9% (1,118)
-0.7%
Power Play
52.6% (435)
50.0% (26)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
41.9% (86)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. McTavish is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,155).
McTavish shoots left. Lorentz is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
McTavish
Lorentz
Home
49.8% (1,678)
50.8% (606)
Away
47.4% (1,580)
46.2% (624)
By Period
McTavish
Lorentz
P1
50.0%
53.0%
P2
47.8%
46.8%
P3
48.4%
46.1%
OT
43.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 16:18 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 09:33 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |