Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.3% vs 42.4%). Look for Lewis on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McTavish wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Lewis 44.3% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 57.7%
Defensive zone
McTavish 51.7%
Neutral zone
McTavish 50.2%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
McTavish
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McTavish
Lewis
Last 5: McTavish 2-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
1
3
McTavish
Lewis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
41.8% (251)
+0.6%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
45.5% (11)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
44.7% (47)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, McTavish has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
McTavish shoots left. Lewis is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
McTavish
Lewis
Home
41.9% (372)
39.2% (166)
Away
42.8% (353)
46.2% (143)
By Period
McTavish
Lewis
P1
47.2%
45.2%
P2
36.2%
43.8%
P3
43.6%
37.8%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.2%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |