Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Lewis 43.2% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Lewis leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lewis 50.1%
Defensive zone
McTavish 51.0%
Neutral zone
Lewis 50.1%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
McTavish
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
McTavish
Lewis
Last 10: McTavish 5-5 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Lewis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
1
McTavish
Lewis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
2
3
McTavish
Lewis
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,788)
43.2% (2,347)
+5.0%
Power Play
52.6% (435)
51.9% (108)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
38.6% (365)
-4.3%
On even strength, McTavish has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
McTavish shoots left. Lewis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
McTavish
Lewis
Home
49.8% (1,678)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
47.4% (1,580)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
McTavish
Lewis
P1
50.0%
42.8%
P2
47.8%
43.9%
P3
48.4%
41.9%
OT
43.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |