Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Lewis 47.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 62.0%
Defensive zone
Lewis 58.6%
Neutral zone
Lewis 60.5%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
McTavish
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
McTavish
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
McTavish
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
McTavish
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
46.0% (189)
+5.1%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
100.0% (2)
-49.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
42.9% (7)
-14.3%
On power play, Lewis has a +49.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
McTavish shoots left. Lewis is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
McTavish
Lewis
Home
52.3% (461)
43.3% (90)
Away
49.2% (500)
49.1% (108)
By Period
McTavish
Lewis
P1
51.5%
46.9%
P2
54.0%
46.3%
P3
47.1%
46.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |