Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Lewis 44.4% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 89.3%
Defensive zone
McTavish 69.2%
Neutral zone
McTavish 87.7%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
McTavish
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
McTavish
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
45.7% (210)
+5.6%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
71.4% (7)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
33.7% (95)
-5.1%
On power play, Lewis has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
McTavish shoots left. Lewis is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
McTavish
Lewis
Home
52.0% (454)
48.8% (166)
Away
51.4% (391)
35.6% (146)
By Period
McTavish
Lewis
P1
51.3%
37.9%
P2
50.4%
46.7%
P3
53.3%
42.7%
Final 5 min
55.7%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |