Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.0% vs Gourde 46.0% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 82.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 62.8%
Neutral zone
McTavish 58.3%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
McTavish
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McTavish
Gourde
Last 7: McTavish 5-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
2
McTavish
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (616)
47.2% (654)
+0.4%
Power Play
57.8% (102)
45.0% (20)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
32.2% (87)
+1.1%
On power play, McTavish has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
McTavish shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
McTavish
Gourde
Home
52.2% (389)
44.1% (322)
Away
45.1% (335)
46.5% (439)
By Period
McTavish
Gourde
P1
50.0%
42.4%
P2
47.9%
49.8%
P3
49.0%
44.3%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 10:03 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 08:20 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |