Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Gourde 48.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 55.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 67.8%
Neutral zone
McTavish 50.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
McTavish
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
McTavish
Gourde
Last 10: McTavish 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
1
McTavish
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McTavish
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
5
McTavish
Gourde
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
48.0% (914)
+3.3%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
54.2% (48)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
43.9% (123)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McTavish shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
McTavish
Gourde
Home
52.0% (454)
50.2% (512)
Away
51.4% (391)
45.7% (573)
By Period
McTavish
Gourde
P1
51.3%
50.0%
P2
50.4%
45.3%
P3
53.3%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 09:04 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |