Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Gourde 49.7% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 63.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 57.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 50.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
McTavish
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McTavish
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
McTavish
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
51.2% (469)
-0.1%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
42.9% (21)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
37.5% (48)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
McTavish shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
McTavish
Gourde
Home
52.3% (461)
47.8% (301)
Away
49.2% (500)
51.9% (237)
By Period
McTavish
Gourde
P1
51.5%
47.3%
P2
54.0%
53.4%
P3
47.1%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |