Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. McTavish wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Gourde 49.7% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 70.4%
Defensive zone
McTavish 70.9%
Neutral zone
McTavish 69.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
McTavish
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McTavish
Gourde
Last 5: McTavish 1-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
McTavish
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
McTavish
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
49.1% (847)
-6.7%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
79.5% (44)
-39.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
39.5% (81)
+10.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McTavish shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
McTavish
Gourde
Home
41.9% (372)
50.1% (491)
Away
42.8% (353)
49.3% (481)
By Period
McTavish
Gourde
P1
47.2%
54.7%
P2
36.2%
45.0%
P3
43.6%
49.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 08:29 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |