Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Domi 50.3% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 61.5%
Defensive zone
Domi 62.9%
Neutral zone
Domi 66.7%
Result
Max Domi favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Barzal
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Barzal
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (456)
51.6% (190)
-11.2%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
37.5% (16)
-3.3%
On even strength, Domi has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Barzal is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (389).
Barzal shoots right. Domi is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Barzal
Domi
Home
38.0% (242)
50.0% (142)
Away
41.3% (259)
51.6% (64)
By Period
Barzal
Domi
P1
46.6%
47.3%
P2
35.4%
47.3%
P3
38.0%
60.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.5%
32.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
39.7%
Domi
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |