Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Domi 50.9% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 67.2%
Defensive zone
Domi 70.4%
Neutral zone
Domi 71.4%
Result
Max Domi favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Barzal
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Barzal
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (463)
50.4% (254)
-10.0%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
59.3% (27)
-25.1%
On power play, Domi has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Barzal shoots right. Domi is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Home / Away
Barzal
Domi
Home
38.1% (244)
50.0% (174)
Away
41.3% (264)
53.3% (107)
By Period
Barzal
Domi
P1
46.6%
45.7%
P2
35.7%
51.5%
P3
37.7%
57.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |