Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.3% vs Domi 50.0% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 51.2%
Defensive zone
Domi 57.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 51.5%
Result
Max Domi favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Barzal
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barzal
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Domi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Barzal
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
49.7% (394)
-6.7%
On even strength, Domi has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Barzal shoots right. Domi is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Barzal
Domi
Home
35.8% (53)
53.2% (235)
Away
49.2% (61)
46.5% (217)
By Period
Barzal
Domi
P1
44.2%
54.4%
P2
38.5%
46.6%
P3
46.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
38.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Max Domi |