Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barzal wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 39.3% vs Domi 53.3% (-18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 57.6%
Defensive zone
Domi 79.8%
Neutral zone
Domi 54.0%
Result
Max Domi favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Barzal
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Barzal
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Domi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Barzal
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (283)
53.8% (847)
-18.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
52.1% (96)
+3.5%
On even strength, Domi has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Barzal shoots right. Domi is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Barzal
Domi
Home
37.0% (138)
53.9% (445)
Away
34.4% (154)
53.5% (505)
By Period
Barzal
Domi
P1
29.5%
51.4%
P2
44.5%
55.3%
P3
31.8%
54.7%
OT
0.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
39.1%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 05:37 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 13:21 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Max Domi |