Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Domi 47.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 52.7%
Defensive zone
Barzal 50.6%
Neutral zone
Domi 53.5%
Result
Max Domi favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Barzal
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Barzal
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Domi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
41.3% (75)
+5.3%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
72.7% (11)
-31.8%
On power play, Domi has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Barzal shoots right. Domi is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Barzal
Domi
Home
49.6% (242)
50.0% (32)
Away
43.3% (263)
42.6% (54)
By Period
Barzal
Domi
P1
42.4%
37.0%
P2
49.5%
40.6%
P3
47.7%
59.3%
Final 5 min
40.2%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |