Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 47.4% vs Paul 50.0% (-7.7%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 65.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 69.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Barzal
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (52)
48.8% (666)
-6.5%
On even strength, Paul has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Barzal is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Barzal shoots right. Paul is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Barzal
Paul
Home
28.0% (25)
49.7% (348)
Away
55.6% (27)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Barzal
Paul
P1
47.4%
51.0%
P2
45.8%
47.4%
P3
22.2%
51.5%
Final 5 min
37.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%