Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 60.3%
Defensive zone
Barzal 64.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 52.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Barzal
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
42.9% (133)
+3.7%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
55.1% (89)
-14.2%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Barzal is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Barzal shoots right. Schmaltz is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Barzal
Schmaltz
Home
49.6% (242)
41.6% (125)
Away
43.3% (263)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Barzal
Schmaltz
P1
42.4%
40.0%
P2
49.5%
59.5%
P3
47.7%
45.0%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%