Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.3% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+2.0%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 53.5%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 61.0%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 57.3%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Barzal
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
38.5% (309)
+4.5%
On even strength, Barzal has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Barzal is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Barzal shoots right. Schmaltz is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Barzal
Schmaltz
Home
35.8% (53)
38.0% (184)
Away
49.2% (61)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Barzal
Schmaltz
P1
44.2%
40.3%
P2
38.5%
39.9%
P3
46.9%
40.7%
Final 5 min
38.1%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%