Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 26.8% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 39.3% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 58.6%
Defensive zone
Barzal 52.1%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 53.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Barzal
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (283)
37.7% (53)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
40.9% (44)
+14.7%
On power play, Barzal has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Barzal is 26.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Barzal shoots right. Schmaltz is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Barzal
Schmaltz
Home
37.0% (138)
34.7% (49)
Away
34.4% (154)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Barzal
Schmaltz
P1
29.5%
25.9%
P2
44.5%
46.2%
P3
31.8%
42.1%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
39.1%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%