Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Strome 45.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 56.7%
Defensive zone
Barzal 55.1%
Neutral zone
Barzal 56.1%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Barzal
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Barzal
Strome
Last 9: Barzal 5-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Barzal
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
3
1
Barzal
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
44.1% (749)
+2.5%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
46.2% (52)
-5.3%
On power play, Strome has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Barzal is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Barzal shoots right. Strome is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Barzal
Strome
Home
49.6% (242)
45.1% (441)
Away
43.3% (263)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Barzal
Strome
P1
42.4%
42.9%
P2
49.5%
44.4%
P3
47.7%
45.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:41 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |