Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 26.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 39.3% vs Strome 44.4% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 72.6%
Defensive zone
Strome 56.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 52.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Barzal
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barzal
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Barzal
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (283)
43.0% (788)
-8.0%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
47.9% (96)
+7.7%
On even strength, Strome has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Barzal is 26.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Barzal shoots right. Strome is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Barzal
Strome
Home
37.0% (138)
42.6% (486)
Away
34.4% (154)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Barzal
Strome
P1
29.5%
41.0%
P2
44.5%
47.8%
P3
31.8%
42.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.1%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |