Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Strome 45.2% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
Strome 51.3%
Defensive zone
Barzal 52.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 51.8%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Barzal
Strome
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (463)
44.2% (267)
-3.8%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
37.0% (27)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
50.0% (4)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Barzal is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Barzal shoots right. Strome is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Barzal
Strome
Home
38.1% (244)
42.0% (157)
Away
41.3% (264)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Barzal
Strome
P1
46.6%
40.0%
P2
35.7%
46.4%
P3
37.7%
44.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%