Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 21 meetings). Barzal wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Strome 44.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 20-16 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 53.6%
Defensive zone
Strome 51.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 51.8%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Barzal
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
20
(36 meetings)
16
20
Barzal
Strome
Last 10: Barzal 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
4
3
Barzal
Strome
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
5
Barzal
Strome
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
9
12
Barzal
Strome
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,565)
44.1% (6,839)
-2.2%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
49.3% (854)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
41.5% (410)
+0.8%
On power play, Strome has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Barzal is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,097).
Barzal shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,377).
Home / Away
Barzal
Strome
Home
43.1% (1,895)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Barzal
Strome
P1
40.7%
44.0%
P2
44.4%
45.3%
P3
41.0%
44.3%
OT
27.6%
46.3%
Final 5 min
39.9%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:41 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 04:12 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 13:52 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |