Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 46.9%). Barzal wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Bennett 47.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 69.6%
Defensive zone
Barzal 54.9%
Neutral zone
Bennett 54.8%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Barzal
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Barzal
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
45.5% (756)
+1.1%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
63.0% (92)
-22.1%
On power play, Bennett has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Barzal shoots right. Bennett is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Barzal
Bennett
Home
49.6% (242)
46.5% (456)
Away
43.3% (263)
47.3% (421)
By Period
Barzal
Bennett
P1
42.4%
46.6%
P2
49.5%
50.5%
P3
47.7%
43.5%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
40.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:02 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |