Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Barzal wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Bennett 47.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 76.2%
Defensive zone
Barzal 74.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 78.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Barzal
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
17
(27 meetings)
10
17
Barzal
Bennett
Last 10: Barzal 4-6 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Barzal
Bennett
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
5
Barzal
Bennett
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
7
9
Barzal
Bennett
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,565)
46.8% (5,683)
-4.9%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
53.7% (555)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
41.8% (256)
+0.5%
On power play, Bennett has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Barzal shoots right. Bennett is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,262).
Home / Away
Barzal
Bennett
Home
43.1% (1,895)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Barzal
Bennett
P1
40.7%
48.0%
P2
44.4%
46.5%
P3
41.0%
46.9%
OT
27.6%
52.5%
Final 5 min
39.9%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:38 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 14:02 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |