Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Barzal wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Bennett 48.3% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 61.4%
Defensive zone
Barzal 52.3%
Neutral zone
Bennett 51.8%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Barzal
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Barzal
Bennett
Last 6: Barzal 3-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Barzal
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
3
2
Barzal
Bennett
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (463)
46.4% (780)
-6.0%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
57.3% (150)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
47.8% (46)
-19.2%
On power play, Bennett has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Barzal shoots right. Bennett is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Barzal
Bennett
Home
38.1% (244)
50.3% (519)
Away
41.3% (264)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Barzal
Bennett
P1
46.6%
47.5%
P2
35.7%
46.6%
P3
37.7%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:38 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |