Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barzal wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 39.3% vs Bennett 47.3% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 87.6%
Defensive zone
Barzal 70.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 77.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Barzal
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Barzal
Bennett
Last 10: Barzal 3-7 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
1
Barzal
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
4
Barzal
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Barzal
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (283)
48.2% (766)
-13.2%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
45.1% (82)
+10.5%
On even strength, Bennett has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Barzal shoots right. Bennett is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Barzal
Bennett
Home
37.0% (138)
49.1% (458)
Away
34.4% (154)
44.8% (446)
By Period
Barzal
Bennett
P1
29.5%
47.9%
P2
44.5%
47.2%
P3
31.8%
46.4%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
39.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 14:02 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:18 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |