Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Steel 49.4% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 61.1%
Defensive zone
Steel 51.1%
Neutral zone
Steel 57.4%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Barzal
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
49.3% (383)
-2.7%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
59.1% (22)
-18.2%
On power play, Steel has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Barzal shoots right. Steel is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Barzal
Steel
Home
49.6% (242)
49.4% (180)
Away
43.3% (263)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Barzal
Steel
P1
42.4%
51.9%
P2
49.5%
43.8%
P3
47.7%
52.6%
Final 5 min
40.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%