Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.3% vs Steel 46.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 66.7%
Defensive zone
Steel 68.6%
Neutral zone
Barzal 50.2%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Barzal
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barzal
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Barzal
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
44.6% (177)
-1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Barzal shoots right. Steel is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Barzal
Steel
Home
35.8% (53)
46.7% (90)
Away
49.2% (61)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Barzal
Steel
P1
44.2%
47.8%
P2
38.5%
47.0%
P3
46.9%
41.3%
Final 5 min
38.1%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Sam Steel |