Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 47.4% vs Steel 52.8% (-11.2%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 67.7%
Defensive zone
Steel 70.2%
Neutral zone
Steel 53.4%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Barzal
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (52)
56.9% (320)
-14.6%
On even strength, Steel has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Barzal is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Barzal shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Barzal
Steel
Home
28.0% (25)
55.9% (202)
Away
55.6% (27)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Barzal
Steel
P1
47.4%
55.5%
P2
45.8%
55.1%
P3
22.2%
50.3%
Final 5 min
37.5%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%