Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 44.9% vs Kuraly 55.9% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 93.3%
Defensive zone
Barzal 61.1%
Neutral zone
Barzal 85.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Barzal
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Barzal
Kuraly
Last 10: Barzal 2-8 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
5
1
Barzal
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
8
Barzal
Kuraly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Barzal
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (314)
58.4% (310)
-15.1%
Power Play
45.5% (33)
66.7% (6)
-21.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
53.0% (83)
-19.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Barzal is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Barzal shoots right. Kuraly is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Barzal
Kuraly
Home
39.9% (168)
57.1% (184)
Away
46.7% (182)
57.7% (215)
By Period
Barzal
Kuraly
P1
39.0%
56.0%
P2
49.1%
56.6%
P3
43.3%
58.0%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
30.5%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |