Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.3% vs Kuraly 48.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 65.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 89.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 62.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Barzal
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Barzal
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
49.4% (445)
-6.4%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Barzal shoots right. Kuraly is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Barzal
Kuraly
Home
35.8% (53)
49.2% (248)
Away
49.2% (61)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Barzal
Kuraly
P1
44.2%
48.3%
P2
38.5%
44.7%
P3
46.9%
51.7%
Final 5 min
38.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |