Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Wright 40.3% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Wright 59.2%
Defensive zone
Barzal 58.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 50.3%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Barzal
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (456)
37.2% (344)
+3.2%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
43.9% (41)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
0.0% (1)
+28.6%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Barzal is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Barzal shoots right. Wright is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Home / Away
Barzal
Wright
Home
38.0% (242)
37.0% (211)
Away
41.3% (259)
38.9% (175)
By Period
Barzal
Wright
P1
46.6%
37.5%
P2
35.4%
38.4%
P3
38.0%
38.1%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
39.7%
Wright
34.0%▼
36.5%
37.8%