Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 26.8% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 39.3% vs Wright 45.8% (+3.3%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 73.2%
Defensive zone
Wright 70.8%
Neutral zone
Barzal 50.4%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Barzal
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (283)
32.3% (31)
+2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Barzal is 26.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Barzal shoots right. Wright is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Barzal
Wright
Home
37.0% (138)
38.5% (13)
Away
34.4% (154)
27.8% (18)
By Period
Barzal
Wright
P1
29.5%
40.0%
P2
44.5%
37.5%
P3
31.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.1%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
35.6%
Wright
34.0%▼
36.5%
32.3%