Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.0% vs 42.6%). Barzal wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Wright 43.1% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 51.4%
Defensive zone
Barzal 51.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 52.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Barzal
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,558)
42.3% (1,209)
-0.4%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
46.9% (113)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
33.3% (6)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Barzal is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,094).
Barzal shoots right. Wright is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Barzal
Wright
Home
43.1% (1,893)
44.0% (671)
Away
40.9% (1,896)
41.2% (657)
By Period
Barzal
Wright
P1
40.6%
44.2%
P2
44.4%
41.4%
P3
41.0%
42.7%
OT
27.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
39.9%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
42.0%
Wright
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.6%