Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.0% vs 42.9%). Barzal wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Wright 43.3% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Wright 50.6%
Defensive zone
Barzal 52.1%
Neutral zone
Barzal 52.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Barzal
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,565)
42.6% (1,318)
-0.7%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
45.8% (131)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
33.3% (6)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Barzal is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,097).
Barzal shoots right. Wright is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
Barzal
Wright
Home
43.1% (1,895)
44.2% (746)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Barzal
Wright
P1
40.7%
44.4%
P2
44.4%
40.7%
P3
41.0%
44.0%
OT
27.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
39.9%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%