Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (39.8% vs 39.8%). Barzal wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Wright 41.4% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Wright 59.2%
Defensive zone
Barzal 61.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 50.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Barzal
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (463)
39.5% (453)
+0.9%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
42.4% (59)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
0.0% (1)
+28.6%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Barzal is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Barzal shoots right. Wright is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Barzal
Wright
Home
38.1% (244)
39.5% (286)
Away
41.3% (264)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Barzal
Wright
P1
46.6%
39.9%
P2
35.7%
37.1%
P3
37.7%
42.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%