Scouting Report
Shane Wright holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.3% vs Wright 50.3% (-7.6%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 50.3%
Defensive zone
Barzal 58.2%
Neutral zone
Wright 50.7%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Barzal
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
52.6% (76)
-9.6%
On even strength, Wright has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Barzal is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Barzal shoots right. Wright is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Barzal
Wright
Home
35.8% (53)
58.5% (41)
Away
49.2% (61)
42.5% (40)
By Period
Barzal
Wright
P1
44.2%
50.0%
P2
38.5%
46.2%
P3
46.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
38.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
43.0%
Wright
34.0%▼
36.5%
50.6%