Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Thompson 41.2% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 54.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 58.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 54.3%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Barzal
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barzal
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Barzal
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
40.6% (801)
+6.0%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
44.7% (103)
-3.8%
On even strength, Barzal has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Barzal is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Barzal shoots right. Thompson is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Barzal
Thompson
Home
49.6% (242)
43.2% (507)
Away
43.3% (263)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Barzal
Thompson
P1
42.4%
37.7%
P2
49.5%
43.4%
P3
47.7%
39.5%
OT
0.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
40.2%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |