Scouting Report
Tage Thompson holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 26.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 39.3% vs Thompson 43.8% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 80.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 67.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 50.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Barzal
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barzal
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Barzal
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (283)
43.3% (735)
-8.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
50.0% (26)
+5.6%
On even strength, Thompson has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Barzal is 26.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Barzal shoots right. Thompson is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Barzal
Thompson
Home
37.0% (138)
44.5% (407)
Away
34.4% (154)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Barzal
Thompson
P1
29.5%
44.4%
P2
44.5%
44.8%
P3
31.8%
40.2%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
39.1%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |