Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 26.8% vs right-shot opponents — Wilson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 39.3% vs Wilson 47.8% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 75.7%
Defensive zone
Wilson 67.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 52.2%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Barzal
Wilson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (283)
40.0% (10)
-5.0%
On even strength, Wilson has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Barzal is 26.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Barzal shoots right. Wilson is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (2).
Home / Away
Barzal
Wilson
Home
37.0% (138)
33.3% (6)
Away
34.4% (154)
33.3% (9)
By Period
Barzal
Wilson
P1
29.5%
42.9%
P2
44.5%
33.3%
P3
31.8%
20.0%
Final 5 min
39.1%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Wilson
40.0%▬
39.0%
33.3%