Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 47.4% vs Wilson 46.2% (+16.0%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 55.4%
Defensive zone
Barzal 52.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 51.8%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Barzal
Wilson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (52)
36.4% (11)
+5.9%
On even strength, Barzal has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Barzal is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Barzal shoots right. Wilson is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Home / Away
Barzal
Wilson
Home
28.0% (25)
0.0% (6)
Away
55.6% (27)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Barzal
Wilson
P1
47.4%
33.3%
P2
45.8%
33.3%
P3
22.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.3%
Wilson
40.0%▬
39.0%
26.3%